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World Affairs Online
Once and future purchasing power, the yellow vests and populist economics
In: foresight, Band 23, Heft 2, S. 242-256
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to understand a spontaneous movement of social mobilization and protest known as the yellow vests and their unrelenting demand for increased buying power.
Design/methodology/approach
A capsule history of France and the universal struggle for a living wage lead to a post-Marxian process of intensified civic action to support the universal aims of well-being and fair play.
Findings
The yellow vests appear to be assuming the proportions of an unorthodox labor fraternity, a novel pressure network transcending the usual time-and-money quests of integrated trade unions.
Research limitations/implications
Little attention is paid to the changing nature of employment, work itself and labor competitiveness. These require further research.
Originality/value
Internal and external factors are identified, combining to explain the lack of discipline and orderly evolution by both animators and demonstrators.
Forethought in designing corporate strategy
In: Foresight, Band 18, Heft 4, S. 444-446
Back to the future: perilous military decisions intended to have ended differently
In: Foresight, Band 18, Heft 2, S. 172-186
Alain Oudot de Dainville, faut-il avoir peur de 2030? (Need we fear the year 2030?)
In: Foresight, Band 18, Heft 2, S. 191-192
Book Review: Glorious Misadventures, Nikolai Rezanov and the Dream of Russian America
In: World futures review: a journal of strategic foresight, Band 6, Heft 3, S. 355-357
ISSN: 2169-2793
How Interacting Systems Go Wrong
In: World futures review: a journal of strategic foresight, Band 6, Heft 2, S. 218-220
ISSN: 2169-2793
Vainqueurs et vaincu, Lendemains de la crise (Victors and Vanquished, Aftermaths of Crisis)
In: Foresight, Band 13, Heft 2
La peur, l'Etat et le citoyen (Fear, the State and the Citizen)20102Preface by Alain Bauer and Manuel Valls. La peur, l'Etat et le citoyen (Fear, the State and the Citizen). Paris: INHESJ‐Editions Vuibert 2010. 217 pp. €26
In: Foresight, Band 12, Heft 6, S. 92-94
The certainty of uncertainty: risk management revisited
In: Foresight: the journal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy, Band 12, Heft 4, S. 47-64
ISSN: 1465-9832
PurposeThe objective of this paper is to scan flagrant cases of uncertainty and hesitation in the conception of plans and strategy and to assess new results in risk management.Design/methodology/approachThe paper uses outstanding examples, present and past (and some future), of both risk taking and risk aversion and their concrete consequences – whether action follows or is blocked by lack of certitude or perhaps confidence.FindingsThe paper shows that the wilful overcoming of missing assuredness may incur, in its turn, hazardous risk.Originality/valueThe paper illustrates the roles of knowledge, precautions wisely taken, and being willing or hesitating to risk the sometimes long shot.
Planification et gestion de crise (Planning and Crisis Management)
In: Foresight, Band 12, Heft 2
Uncertainty, the critical basis of risk management
In: Foresight, Band 11, Heft 6, S. 42-55
PurposeThe objective of this paper is to scan the extent of uncertainty and hesitation in the development of plans and strategy.Design/methodology/approachThe author evokes concrete cases of risk aversion, when the action either goes ahead or is stymied by lack of certitude. The incidents cited are of practical – rather than of theoretical – connotation.FindingsThis essay shows that the willful overcoming of missing assuredness may sometimes incur, in its turn, hazardous risk.Originality/valueThe paper illustrates the roles of intelligence, the measurement of precaution, and the willingness or failure to gamble on the (sometimes) long shot.
La cyberguerre, La guerre numérique a commencé (CyberWarfare, The Declaration of Digital War)
In: Foresight, Band 11, Heft 5, S. 85-86
The sweeping changes of 1867 – what became of them, and how
In: Foresight, Band 5, Heft 3, S. 48-54
During a single, dynamic year of the nineteenth century, politics, economics, culture and technology shifted sharply throughout disparate regions of the world. Some of these changes were culminating events, some sudden and swift, others would need time to take total effect – but all would be innovative, if not revolutionary. Is there plan or order among such historic inflection points, and what roles do care and precaution play in the process?